Wednesday, November 05, 2014

The LuLac Edition #2769, November 5th, 2014

ELECTION 2014 RECAP


GOP TAKES CONTROL

The Senate now is back in the hands of the Republicans. With resounding wins all cross the country, the GOP has control of both houses of Congress. At last glance they now have 52 votes in the upper chamber with Alaska and Louisiana still in doubt.
It will e interesting to see if that conversation at the White House will bear fruit or venom. The two sides have to start to work together. The President though will go the path of Executive Order for immigration. My opinion, if he had done that sooner instead of waiting until after the election, he might have energized his base more.
If the President refuses to budge on issues like the Keystone Pipeline and if the Republicans start to talk about Impeachment, then we're in for essentially another two years of gridlock.
Let's hold our breath (and hope the GOP and the President hold their noses on compromises they might not want to make) and hope for the best.


KAUFER'S WIN: NOT AN UPSET
The new Representative in the 120th, Aaron  Kaufer. (Photo: LuLac archives)
Some people are saying that Aaron Kaufer's win in the 120th is a major upset. Not so much in my opinion. Kaufer, making a second run at the seat held by Phyllis Mundy ran a well funded campaign. So did Eileen Cipriani. I have spoken to many people in that district that were visited personally by both candidates.
Both had good organization with volunteers who went to the wall for both.  But here's why Kaufer won.
1. No primary challenger. Kaufer had the opportunity to run for "the seat" since filing. Cipriani had  to contend with a challenge from Edwardsville's Gary Mack.
2. Ever since this district was reapportioned in 1966, a Republican from Kingston or Forty Fort has held this seat. In 1990 Phyllis Mundy won when her Republican opponent was indicted. Wisely she took a bi partisan approach to the District in her early years while building up loyalty. When the seat came open, that long standing loyalty was not transferred to Cipriani. Cipriani though is a talented, competent public official that in any other time would win handily. But, and I know this is going to sound parochial, but Kingston/Forty Fort wanted that seat back. In past years when challengers like Joe Carmondy and the late Bill James (both from up the line in Exeter and Falls ran) Kingston held steady  for Mundy, a resident. It was not unlikely that they would do the same for Mr. Kaufer. 
3. Some of the ads on both sides were sketchy. The one that I was surprised at was where Mr. Kaufer's work history was denigrated. Whatever his job is at Mohegan Sun, you don't diminish that because all work is noble. That had to have a backlash. 
4. Finally the state GOP put a lot of money into the Kaufer campaign. This was a way for the GOP leadership in Harrisburg to add to their total in the House.
You put all that together and this race is no longer a surprise once you look under the surface.

WILKES BARRE/SCRANTON MIGHT BENEFIT FROM WOLF WIN

With a Democratic Governor now set to take office, look for Wilkes Barre and Scranton to possibly get some more traction in its funding efforts from the new Governor. There were key Democrats who came out early for Wolf and that might translate into more help for projects or those towns.


WOLF SAYS THANKS
Tom Wolf at the Utz Arena in York last night. (Photo: CNN). 

Here's an e mail Tom Wolf sent to his supporters last night: 
Throughout my life, I've found that the only way to get things done right is to listen, to treat people fairly, and to include everyone in the process. It's that kind of collaboration that allowed me to turn my former business around, and it's the approach we need to take to bring about the bright future this great commonwealth deserves.
Governor Tom Corbett, Lt. Governor Jim Cawley, and their many supporters deserve our respect and admiration for running a campaign focused on the issues. While we may disagree on ideology, we all agree that Pennsylvania's best days are ahead of us.
I hope you keep your passion for Pennsylvania alive by continuing to connect with residents all across our commonwealth. In the days and weeks ahead, I urge you to reach out to your neighbors -- especially those who didn't support this campaign -- and ask them what you can do together to improve your community.
The conversations you have may surprise you.
If we're going to fund a world-class public education system, create family-sustaining jobs, bring about fairness and equality under the law, provide access to affordable health care, build safe communities, and keep Pennsylvania beautiful, it's going to take all of us doing our part.
Democracy requires healthy debates, but our duty to Pennsylvania requires that we listen, that we roll up our sleeves, and that we come together to do what is right.
As your governor, I'll be there working with you -- and I can't wait to see what we do together to help give Pennsylvania a fresh start.
Thank you so much,

Tom Wolf


WOLF'S WIN BREAKS THE CYCLE

The win by Tom Wolf broke the famous Pennsylvania cycle where administrations changed by party every eight years. Here's that list of the streak that is now broken.
THE PA “CYCLE”
Since 1954 Democrats and Republicans have exchanged the office of Governor every eight years.
1955-1961 George Leader & David Lawrence (D)
1961-1969- William Scranton and Ray Shafer (R)
1971-1979 Milton Shapp. (D)
1979 1987 Richard Thornburgh.(R)
1987 1995 Robert P. Casey Senior (D)
1995 2003 Tom Ridge Mark Schweiker (R)
2003 2011 Ed Rendell. (D)
2011 2015 Tom Corbett (R)






24 Comments:

At 8:03 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Put it simple Yonk, that's what happens when you have a lying incompetent president
with no ideas. Couldn't even make a call to
get a marine out of Mexico.

 
At 8:37 AM, Blogger David Yonki said...

IN RESPONSE 8:03AM

PUT IT SIMPLE, HE SHOULD HAVE DONE EVERYTHING IN HIS FIRST TWO YEARS. FOR A GUY WHO SAID HE HAD GAME, HE NEVER EXECUTED THE PLAYS WHEN HE NEEDED TO.

 
At 10:55 AM, Blogger Max Benjamin said...

Re: your opinion on Eileen's loss to Kaufer-Very valid points of which some of I wasn't aware of because I came back to the area in '95-'96 after living in the great State of Ohio for 29+ years--But I believe the low voter turnout in the district greatly contributed to her loss-(compare the voting results from two years ago when Kaufer ran against Mundy)....

 
At 11:04 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Please explain: If the President refuses to budge on issues like the Keystone Pipeline and if the Republicans start to talk about Impeachment...

“The President, Vice President and all civil Officers of the United States shall be removed from Office on Impeachment for, and Conviction of, Treason, Bribery, or other high Crimes and Misdemeanors."

No matter how stupid you think Rs are, I can't think of any that put a desire to eliminate all carbon based energy sources as qualifying for impeachment.

The reality is he must leave the faculty lounge and attempt to make peace with those he has held in contempt and treated so dismissively.

We'll see if he acts like an adult on Friday afternoon.

 
At 12:12 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Don't forget a little ethnicity helped out with Kaufer.

 
At 1:09 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

OK. Now a message to my republican senator and congressmen/women: STOP what is going on. Stop it in its tracks and get things rolling.

Obama has soured me and I expect you folks to get things right. I did NOT vote for you to find common ground with the Dems. I voted against what they stand for.

The economy.
More energy.
Stop illegal immigration.
Fix/kill ObamaCare.
Give me back control of my life.

Here is my mandate: STOP Obama's agenda - cold, in its tracks.

 
At 3:31 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Good call by Chris Kelly in the Times/Tribune. Corbett beat himself
and thats the truth. Not taxing the M Shale people was enough on its own
but not the only arrogant blunder. What do you suppose was the real truth with his refusal to tax them?
Best of luck to the new Gov. I hope he does well, but he doesnt have a very tough act to follow. Just pay some attention to the people, Tom Wolf and you will be OK. Congrats Pennsylvania!


JP

 
At 3:51 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

That's because he really did NOT have a game plan, other than getting elected- much like our new governor elect.
Listening to you on sue henry, trying desperately to articulate his non plan, I felt sorry for ya. You drank the koolaide, unaware what was in it

 
At 5:58 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

The "marines" story doesnt ring true to me. What the hell was he doing driving around with a carload of guns?You cant take guns into Mexico or Bibles into North Korea! If you do you are on your own. They
have made it clear.

Jarhead

 
At 7:26 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

How about a used Jeep as a going away present for Tom C? Screw him, he can walk!

How long before one of the big companies in the shale biz appoints Corbett to a management position?

That way they can pay him above the table! Something

 
At 7:43 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

"We'll see if he acts like an adult on Friday afternoon."

Don't hold your breath 11:04.

The display of hubris and the denial of reality by our President at today's press confidence bordered on mental illness. I watched the whole thing.

The high point was that it actually started on time!

The Republicans need to pull the Dems aside and urge them to help pass their agenda. If they don't rid themselves of the Obama connection, they will be voted out the next election. Not even the Clintons could turn the tide.

 
At 8:18 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Carroll, Yudichak, Blake and Sid Michaels all were for McCord. Last time around they were for Tim Holden. They sure can pick losers.

 
At 9:55 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

great job on TV today.

 
At 11:12 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

yes indeed yonki, you were great. love the shirt and tie combo.

 
At 7:21 AM, Anonymous Pope George Ringo said...

There is no question the President's greatest opportunities lay in the first two years of his administration. HOwever, to be fair, he did not receive from the somewhat skittish Dem majority a full scale show of support...many of whom toned down the ACA from being a single payer program to what it is today.
Additionally, after the GOP seized control, it is reported that the President has met with soon to be Majority Leader McConnell only twice in the past six years. Sounds pretty bad on Obama's part, but to be fair (and I may be wrong on this) I seem to recall reports that Obama's invitations to meet said GOP leaders were rebuffed on several occasions. Again, I may be wrong but if not, what then could the President have done???
All in all, for Dems a devasating election.
However, two years is a lifetime in politics as the cliche' states. Who knows what the election post mortem will read? A Clinton Presidency with Dem Senate control?? Or a Walker or Bush presidency with even greater GOP congressional numbers???
Time will tell...and for all the ranting of corporate spending on campaigns..in the end it is each individual citizen...rich, poor, middle, who pressed the ballot button and made it possible.

 
At 7:29 AM, Blogger David Yonki said...

IN RESPONSE 7:21AM
Again, I may be wrong but
YOU'RE NOT.

 
At 9:01 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I was wondering, while all the news and media coverage has been going on with the election what is happening on other fronts like Immigration, Ebola, the ISIS battles
and a host of other things that usually receive daily coverage and are now relegated to the back pages or no coverage at all. Another example of how the agenda is set by the media in the USA.

 
At 11:05 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

PGP,

Rational and well put. Hope this bodes well for everyone who posts.

 
At 5:04 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

The headline reads Boehner warns Obama. The arrogance! Name one, just one accomplishment in Johnny the Tan Mans resume. They arent going to work together or even try. Its not in the nature of todays republican. I was a long time republican, but no more. If you want arrogance and obstruction, its your party! I realize the democrats are not much better, but the GOP is off the rails! Its like the kid who always threatened to take his ball and go home in the middle of the game when he didnt get his way all the way. The dems are weak, the republicans are assinine! No progress in sight at the expense of the American people. Johnny cries out and cries on...

 
At 9:44 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Wouldnt you agree that during her campaign Cipriani acted like she already won the election before she even ran?

I remember you warning a politico who was running in the 2012 election who had that same "trust me - i got this" attitude. They didnt take your advice and guess what! they lost!

 
At 9:33 PM, Blogger David Yonki said...

IN RESPONSE
Wouldnt you agree that during her campaign Cipriani acted like she already won the election before she even ran?
NO I DO NOT AGREE. CIPRIANI WAS ALL OVER THE PLACE ASKING FOR VOTES. IN MY OBSERVATIONS OF HER, SHE NEVER INDICATED THIS WAS A SURE THING. SHE SPENT MONEY, SHE MET A TON OF PEOPLE AND FOR THE MOST PART HER ADVERTISING WAS EFFECTIVE.
BUT REMEMBER, THE DAYS OF ANOINTING A SUCCESSOR ARE OVER. NO LESS A FIGURE THAN GOVERNOR (FORMER AT THE TIME) DICK THORNBUGH LOST FOR SENATE IN 1991 TO SUCCEED JOHN HEINZ. THE GOP WANTED THIS SEAT BACK AND SO DID THE COMMUNITIES OF KINGSTON AND FORTY FORT. THAT WASN'T CIPRIANI'S FAULT.

 
At 9:43 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Howard Dean hits the bulls eye, “Where the hell is the democratic party?”! And where have they been?

This president has had no support from a party of cowards with no leadership. No leadership!!!

 
At 5:35 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

The days of annointed successors are over?
John Blake
Mike Carroll
John Yudichack
Lisa Baker
Karen Boback
Just to name a few

 
At 7:59 PM, Blogger David Yonki said...

IN RESPONSE
The days of annointed successors are over?
John Blake
Mike Carroll
John Yudichack
Lisa Baker
Karen Boback
TRUE...TO A POINT. EACH HAD A PRIMARY WITH FORMIDABLE CANDIDATES. AND THEIR DISTRICTS WERE OVERWHELMINGLY IN THEIR FAVOR.

 

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